A pressure relief valve on a water heater allows excess pressure to escape so the tank doesn’t explode!! This made me think of assessing financial risk. I was recently working with a client to analyze a large financial investment. There are many unknowns and some risk involved, so we walked through each scenario and identified…

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I’m a firm believer that investments should have expected future cash flow. True investors should “expect” to be compensated for delaying gratification and taking risk (ie uncertainty). If an “investment” doesn’t have future expected cash flow, it is not an investment. Rather, it is a speculative guess. These speculative guesses are based purely on the…

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It’s in the news: “Inflation is on the rise!” So what? We haven’t had high inflation in a long time. If we experience short-term inflation related to COVID supply chain issues, that’s not too bad. If we experience long-term inflation and price increases are “here to stay” for a while, then investors should make sure…

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Let’s be honest – most of us don’t really understand inflation. The dictionary defines inflation as: 1“a continuing rise in the general price level usually attributed to an increase in the volume of money and credit relative to available goods and services.” In a nutshell, inflation is when prices go up. But why is that…

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